BUILDING AND SOCIAL CONDITIONS AFTER 1945.
The immediate problem after the
war was to house those whose homes had been
bombed. Longer-term objectives were to complete
and extend earlier clearance programmes in
order to reduce the population density and
separate industry from residential areas, as
reaffirmed in the County of London Plan of
1943. (fn. 10) Some 5,000 people lived in temporary
housing, including requisitioned properties and
hutments or mobile homes, 'prefabs', of which
the L.C.C.'s first in East London were in Florida
and Squirries streets. (fn. 11) All but 15 of its 190
'prefabs' were in use in 1955, together with 309
requisitioned properties; (fn. 12) at least 48 mobile
homes were still in use in 1966. (fn. 13) War damage
had been repaired by 1953 and attention shifted
to slum clearance; flats were to be allotted to
those in cleared areas rather than by a waiting
list. The L.C.C. and M.B. co-operated in drawing up five-year plans: (fn. 14) by 1954 there were
16,852 permanent homes of which 2,434 were
unfit, 1,711 in the L.C.C.'s clearance areas and
675 in the M.B.'s, together with 48 individual
houses. (fn. 15) The L.C.C. demolished 510 and the
M.B. 550 between 1956 and 1960 (fn. 16) and the M.B.
demolished another 151 unfit and 46 other houses
in 1961-2. (fn. 17) Most were replaced by municipal
estates, although both councils also acquired
sites scheduled for industry, business, or open
space. (fn. 18) It was estimated that to find a site and
build an estate took six years. (fn. 19)
The first estates were on sites scheduled for
redevelopment before the war. Bethnal Green
No. 1 Redevelopment Area was part of the
L.C.C.'s 46-a. clearance area of 1936. (fn. 20) It was a
7¼-a. site (fn. 21) north of Old Bethnal Green Road
consisting of 277 dwellings, mostly small twostoreyed houses accommodating c. 1,400 people,
a few workshops, and shops. The L.C.C. had
compulsorily purchased most of it and closed
four streets in 1938. After bomb damage the
L.C.C. in 1945 announced the scheme for the
estate, named Minerva after the central street
and consisting of 8 three- or four-storeyed
blocks in pairs, named after characters in the
Trojan war. It was based on plans by the former
L.C.C. architect T. H. Forshaw, using one of
the pre-war block types but experimenting with
monolithic concrete to save materials and labour.
Built by Holland & Hannen and Cubitts, the
blocks were faced with concrete made from
Portland stone salvaged from bombed buildings
and had playgrounds on the roof. Begun in 1946
and officially opened in 1948, Minerva estate
contained 261 flats for 950 people. (fn. 22)
A still larger scheme was revived for the so
called Turin Street or Squirries Street site north
of Bethnal Green Road. (fn. 23) Compulsory purchase
had begun by 1939 and building began in 1945
on Avebury estate, which opened with 208
dwellings in 1948. (fn. 24) On 5½ a. to the east private
architects, Howes & Jackman, designed red-brick
four-storeyed blocks of 99 flats which opened as
Teesdale estate in 1949. (fn. 25)
Between 1945 and 1951 the L.C.C. built 830
dwellings in Bethnal Green, (fn. 26) the others being
added to existing estates: Collingwood, with 178
new flats in Grindall, Redmill, and Collingwood
houses on the Darling Row site, and Dinmont,
with 92 in Beechwood and Sebright houses to
the west and Croft House to the north. (fn. 27)
The first post-war L.C.C. estate east of
Cambridge Heath Road was Park View, opened
in 1951 with 207 flats (fn. 28) on 7 a. bordered northeast by the canal and Victoria Park, west by
St. James's Avenue, and south by Old Ford
Road. Bandon Road disappeared as brick blocks
replaced Victorian terraces; Mark House, with
60 flats, completed the estate of three 6-storeyed
blocks by 1955. (fn. 29) During the mid 1950s 128 flats
went up in blocks of 3-5 storeys west of the
pre-war Wellington (formerly Waterloo) estate. (fn. 30)
From the mid 1950s the councils built increasingly tall blocks, encouraged by government
grants and by the architects', though not the
tenants', preference for a jagged skyline over the
monotony of Victorian terraces and lower
blocks. (fn. 31)
In 1957 the L.C.C. opened Hereford estate,
237 dwellings in blocks of up to 10 storeys on
6½ a. east of Hereford Street. It also began the
compulsory purchase of 8½ a. east and north of
Collingwood estate containing nearly 300
houses, 7 factories, and a cinema, (fn. 32) where by
1962 25 flats had been completed. Lysander
House (60 flats) was added to Minerva estate,
which had grown to 9½ a. and 354 flats. Other
extensions by 1962 included 56 flats in Turin
Street, 136 in Satchwell Road, and 340 in
Squirries Street, mostly built in the late 1950s, (fn. 33)
all part of Avebury estate which then covered
20 a., and another 130 flats completed on
Teesdale estate. By the end of 1962 the L.C.C.
had built 2,317 flats in Bethnal Green since 1945
and controlled a total of 4,213 flats on estates
covering 80 a.
The post-war M.B. built to designs by four
private firms which worked with its officers,
while construction was divided between
contractors and the surveyor's department. (fn. 34)
The resulting flats possessed 'more sympathetic
detailing' than contemporary L.C.C. estates. (fn. 35)
Many were named after left-wing political
personalities. Like the L.C.C., the M.B. (fn. 36) began
with sites scheduled for clearance before the war
or built individual blocks on bombed sites.
A site east of Sutton Dwellings, between Globe
Road and James Street (renamed Sceptre
Road in 1938), was scheduled in 1936. (fn. 37)
Bombs demolished some of the 93 houses, a
church, and several factories and in 1947 the
foundation stone was laid of Rogers estate,
named after Sgt. Maurice Rogers, a local winner
of the V.C.; it opened as two 5-storeyed blocks
containing 120 flats in 1949. (fn. 38)
In 1950 work began on two blocks off Grove
Road, the 5-storeyed brick Bunsen House in
Bunsen Street, designed by Donald Hamilton,
Wakeford & Partners, with 20 flats, and Hooke
House (fn. 39) in Thoydon Road, with 48; both
blocks opened in 1951. Margaret Bondfield
and Beatrice Webb houses, with 9 and 15 flats,
opened nearby in Chisenhale Road in 1952 and
1953 respectively.
In 1953 Clarion House with 6 flats was opened
in Roman Road, with larger blocks to the
north and south: Reynolds House, (fn. 40) a 6-storeyed
reinforced concrete block of 60 flats designed by
Hamilton, Wakeford & Partners at the corner of
Bishop's Way and Approach Road, and Stafford
Cripps House, with 51 flats on the east side
of Globe Road opposite Rogers estate, a site
scheduled in 1937 for clearance by the L.C.C. as
Lansdell Place. (fn. 41) Also in 1953 James Middleton
House opened with 45 flats on the south side of
Middleton Street, the first post-war municipal
estate west of Cambridge Heath Road. Susan
Lawrence House opened with 9 flats in Zealand
Road near Chisenhale Road in 1954. The M.B.
had provided 728 dwellings in the 10 years since
1945. (fn. 42)
In 1955 Pepys House opened with 38 flats in
two blocks in Kirkwall Place off Globe Road,
opposite the pre-war Mendip Houses, and
William Fenn House with 16 flats in Shipton
Street, near the Nag's Head estate. (fn. 43) Work began
on the more ambitious Dorset estate, called
after the Tolpuddle martyrs, on 3 a. around
Arline Street, between Diss and Ravenscroft
streets off Hackney Road. The original scheme
included land to the north fronting Hackney
Road, which proved too expensive. Designed by
Skinner, Bailey & Lubetkin, the estate was the
first to feature high-level blocks, with two 11storeyed Y-shaped buildings (George Loveless
and James Hammett houses) on the north, four
4-storeyed houses (James Brine House) to the
south and two more (Robert Owen and Arthur
Wade houses) on the south side of Baroness
Road. The estate, completed by 1957 and
officially opened with 266 flats in 1958, (fn. 44) marked
a change in municipal housing, with the emphasis on height and reinforced concrete. (fn. 45)
Skinner, Bailey & Lubetkin also designed
Lakeview estate on a narrow site east of Grove
Road, between Old Ford Road and the former
Hertford Union canal, where bombing had left
only one villa. An 11-storeyed twin tower block
of 60 flats was flanked by two 2-storeyed blocks,
all the blocks being placed to avoid a northern
fafade. Built by direct council labour, the estate
opened in 1958. (fn. 46)
Although Greenways estate (fn. 47) on the south side
of Roman Road, north and west of Meath
Gardens, was started in 1949, (fn. 48) it was not
officially opened until 1959 and not listed among
projects completed by 1955. (fn. 49) The original
scheme by Yorke, Rosenberg & Mardall was for
341 flats in 5-storeyed blocks, two facing in
Warley Street (the Usk Street site) and five
north of Meath Gardens (Braemar and Moss
Street sites). The eastern Warley Street block
(Mary Macarthur House with 60 flats), the two
Braemar Street blocks (Chater House with 37
flats and Ellen Wilkinson House with 70), and
the westernmost Moss Street block (George
Belt House) had been built c. 1950. (fn. 50) The second
part of the scheme, designed in concrete by
Fry, Drew, Drake & Lasdun, was begun in
1952 on 2½ a. to the west and north, partly on
the abandoned site of the western Usk Street
block. It consisted of the 8-storeyed Sulkin and
Trevelyan houses with 24 maisonettes each and
the 4-storeyed Jenkinson and Wedgwood houses
with 20 maisonettes each. The 8-storeyed cluster
blocks by Sir Denys Lasdun were innovative and
intended to create a vertical street. (fn. 51) Extensions
to Greenways were built on the site of St. Simon
Zelotes (Jowitt House with 8 flats) and fronting
Roman Road: Bevin (with 32 flats) in 1957 and
Windsor (28 flats), Clynes (18 flats), Thorne (16
flats), and Sleigh (12 flats) houses by 1959, when
the completed Greenways estate had 515 flats.
Sylvia Pankhurst House (12 flats) opened in
Bullard's Place in 1962, although not originally
considered part of the estate.
Lasdun and his partners designed another
cluster block scheme for Claredale estate in
1957. Keeling House, 16-storeyed with 56
stacked maisonettes separated by bands of concrete and 8 bed-sitting rooms on the fifth floor,
contrasted with the 6-storeyed Bradley and
Connett houses (with 54 and 42 flats) in dark
brick. The estate, opened in 1960 in a clearance
area, stretched from the pre-war Claredale
House to Old Bethnal Green Road, where
Peachey Edwards House contained 20 flats for
old people. (fn. 52)
The Approach Road scheme, opened in 1963,
consisted of the 12-storeyed Thomas Hollywood
House with 47 flats and the smaller James
Campbell and Allen McAuliffe houses with 25
and 6 flats respectively. (fn. 53) By 1963 the M.B. had
built 1,546 dwellings since the war. (fn. 54)
Council building, mainly of high-rise blocks
and large estates, continued after the changes
from L.C.C. to G.L.C. and from metropolitan
to London borough in 1965. The whole of
western Bethnal Green was scheduled for
redevelopment under a 5-year plan for 1962-7,
the southern part for industry, relieved by an
open space called Weavers' Fields around Mapes
Street, the northern part to be dominated by
housing estates. (fn. 55)
A new L.C.C. estate, between Boundary and
Avebury and called Newling after the street
south of Gosset Street, opened in 1963 with 193
flats in blocks of 2-6 storeys. (fn. 56) It included
Columbia Market on the north side of Columbia
Road, which had belonged to the L.C.C. since
1915, had always been a white elephant, and
after bombing had been used as a depot. Its
Gothic architecture, making it probably the
most striking building in Bethnal Green, might
have been preserved by a proposal for a county
college, but in the early 1960s such preservation
was considered 'Quixotic'. (fn. 57)
Avebury estate was extended in 1963 by four
small blocks west of the Turin Street site near
Gibraltar Walk (fn. 58) and by Rapley Place, also west
of Turin Street, between Lorden Walk and
Dence House, where a 6-storeyed block of 18
flats and a 4-storeyed one of 15 were designed
in brick by T. P. Bennett & Son of Bloomsbury
Square. (fn. 59) Another extension was planned in
1967 to house 78 people on the site of St. James
the Great's Vicarage in Bethnal Green Road. (fn. 60)
In 1965 the L.C.C. began modernizing its
oldest estate, Boundary Street, reducing the
number of flats by adding new bathrooms and
kitchens. (fn. 61) An adjoining area to the north had
been scheduled for redevelopment before the
war as Cooper's Gardens. (fn. 62) It served as an open
space in the late 1950s, (fn. 63) was scheduled for an
L.C.C. housing estate in 1962, (fn. 64) and opened in
1966 as Virginia estate, Casket Street, with 71
dwellings in blocks of 4 and 14 storeys on 1½ a. (fn. 65)
In 1965 the G.L.C. acquired over 5 a. which it
called the Virginia Road site, for 260 dwellings
as an extension to Newling estate. (fn. 66) New housing
was planned in 1968 in Cuff Place, west of
Columbia Market, and Nelson Gardens, north
of Cobden House on Avebury estate off Old
Bethnal Green Road. (fn. 67)
Extensions were made to other L.C.C. estates.
The Eastman Street area west of Brady Street,
south of the pre-war Scott Street development,
was cleared in 1958 (fn. 68) and in 1965 the L.C.C.
approved plans by Booth, Ledeboer & Pinckheard
for a 5-storeyed block of 20 flats set at a right
angle to a 6-storeyed block of 25 maisonettes. (fn. 69)
The scheme, called Heathpool Court, opened in
1968/9 as part of Collingwood estate. (fn. 70) In the
extension to the east six out of nine blocks had
been completed in 1966, and two more, each of
two storeys, for another 63 dwellings, had been
proposed. In the same year the G.L.C. approved
a 1-a. extension north of Headlam Street, between
Buckhurst Street and Cambridge Heath Road,
of 56 dwellings in 4- and 7-storeyed blocks. (fn. 71) In
1969 it also approved a scheme by Noel Moffett
and Associates for 45 flats and maisonettes on 1
a. between Barnsley, Collingwood, and Tapp
streets and decided to modernize, thereby
reducing in number, some pre-war Collingwood flats. (fn. 72) Fronting Cambridge Heath
Road, Sovereign House was built c. 1967 and
Donegal House by 1970. Orion House, in Barnsley Street by 1974, may have existed by 1971
as Ashington House. (fn. 73)
In 1966 the G.L.C. approved a scheme by T.
P. Bennett & Son for the 5-storeyed Argos
House of 18 flats for the elderly in the south-west
corner of Minerva estate (fn. 74) and in 1967 another
by Pearlman Moiret Associates for a 4-storeyed
block of 43 dwellings on i a. at Gale's Gardens
between the railway and the pre-war Horwood
estate. (fn. 75) In 1969 the G.L.C. decided to acquire
a factory in Hollybush Gardens, initially for
firms displaced by redevelopment, (fn. 76) where by
1974 58 flats in 4-storeyed blocks had been
added to the pre-war estate.
By 1974 the L.C.C. and G.L.C. had built
3,260 dwellings since 1945 on 108 a. in Bethnal
Green, housing nearly 14,000 people.
The M.B. had cleared 14 a. between Old Ford
and Roman roads, east of Bonner Street, by 1959
for its most ambitious estate, called Cranbrook
after the central street. Terraced houses, workshops, and one large factory were replaced by
a figure of eight called Mace Street, which
echoed the diagonals of the street pattern to the
north. (fn. 77) Large and small buildings, of concrete
faced with grey brick, were to have an overall
density of 136 persons to an acre and to house
600 families. (fn. 78) The first blocks opened at the
southern end in 1963: the 5-storeyed Holman
House, with 48 flats and 12 shops, and the
low-rise Stubbs and Tate houses, with 16 and
14 dwellings for old people. (fn. 79) Cranbrook estate
officially opened in 1964 with 530 dwellings
contained in those blocks, in six more of 11-15
storeys named after towns twinned with Bethnal
Green, (fn. 80) and five of 4 storeys named after
demolished streets. (fn. 81) The estate, designed by
Skinner, Bailey & Lubetkin and constructed by
Wates (London), won an award from the Civic
Trust. Elizabeth Frink's statue of the Blind
Beggar of Bethnal Green was set in a garden in
Market Square, surrounded by single-storeyed
blocks for the elderly, (fn. 82) but was not widely
appreciated and was damaged soon after its
unveiling in 1959. (fn. 83)
In the 1960s the M.B. began to acquire property for refurbishment rather than demolition.
In 1963 it purchased 20 of the 120 terraced
blocks of Waterlow estate, which were modernized into 234 dwellings. (fn. 84) By the beginning of
1964 it owned c. 150 houses, including a threestoreyed Victorian terrace east of Lakeview
estate in Old Ford Road, which it converted into
flats. (fn. 85) The six-storeyed Mayfield House opened
with 54 flats in 1964 on the east side of Cambridge Heath Road, south of the town hall. (fn. 86)
The new Tower Hamlets L.B. in 1965 announced a 10-year housing programme, initially
to complete the schemes of the metropolitan
boroughs. (fn. 87) In 1965 Tower Hamlets acquired
the 19th-century Leopold Buildings (79 flats) in
Columbia Road and opened five dwellings in
Shipton Street and 7 in Cadell Close off Hackney
Road; 25 dwellings opened on the east side of
Ravenscroft Street as part of the same development in 1966, when the high-rise Sivill House
opened with 76 flats in Columbia Road.
Bethnal Green M.B.'s slum clearance programme, intended to end in 1965, included an
area between Hackney and Old Bethnal Green
roads, bounded west and east by Warner Place
and Mansford Road. It covered the pre-war
Hadrian estate and the L.C.C. agreed to develop
the southern part, which adjoined its Avebury
estate, (fn. 88) leaving 3½ a. to the M.B., which
planned 6-storeyed blocks with 176 dwellings. (fn. 89)
Mary Janes and Sheppard houses, with 16 and
46 flats, opened in Warner Place in 1966 and
Wyndham Deedes House, (fn. 90) with 38 flats in
Hackney Road, and Blythenhale and George
Vale (fn. 91) houses, with 54 and 22 flats in Mansford
Street, in 1967. The estate was called St. Peter's
after the church which alone had survived
clearance.
In 1966 Keats House (22 flats) in Roman Road
was added to Bethnal Green estate and, to the east,
the 14-storeyed Bacton Tower (52 flats) opened
at the junction of Roman and Globe roads.
Designed by Yorke, Rosenberg & Mardall and
built by Wates, Bacton Tower was the first fully
industrialized block built for Tower Hamlets
and featured ceramic tiles cast on the site. (fn. 92)
Council flats built by the L.B. in 1967 included
12 in Walter Street, 23 in Morpeth Street, 4
in Knottisford Street, 25 in Portman Place,
all south of Roman Road in Globe Town, and
7 in Bonner Street and 8 in Mace Street, north
of Roman Road on Cranbrook estate. In 1968
Tuscan House opened with 48 flats in
Knottisford Street and 24 flats in Robinson Road
and 40 in Russia Lane were added to Approach
estate, replacing the notorious Quinn Square. (fn. 93)
The enthusiasm for high-rise building, at its
height in 1966 when the L.B.'s architects were
'now working on tall blocks', (fn. 94) culminated in
Bethnal Green in 1969 when the 22-storeyed
Charles Dickens House opened with 130 flats
in Mansford Street. The collapse of Ronan Point
flats (West Ham, Essex) in 1968, however,
proved to be a turning point, as both the G.L.C.
and the L.B. switched to low-rise building or
refurbishment. (fn. 95)
In 1969 Tower Hamlets approved schemes by
its architect's department for two estates of
compact cluster blocks, mostly four-storeyed
with lower wings, which could be linked or
grouped to give an informal appearance. They
were built of brick with timber windows and had
gardens, the emphasis being on privacy. (fn. 96)
Rowley Bros. of Tottenham, who had built
some of the Roman Road flats, agreed to build
4-storeyed flats on 7½ a. around Lanfranc Road,
between Roman, Arbery, Grove, and Medway
roads. The site included Clarion and Hooke
houses of the 1950s and a public house, everything else to make way for an estate to be
completed in 1971. Twelve blocks with 269
dwellings were grouped amid landscaping and
named after naval destroyers. (fn. 97) After Rowley
Bros. went bankrupt in 1971 the estate was
completed by F. G. Minter and J. & R. Rooff
and opened between 1972 and 1975. (fn. 98)
The second scheme was for six blocks containing 66 dwellings on 2 a. west of Mansford Street,
which included the nearly completed Charles
Dickens House and was part of a clearance area
where Mansford Buildings had been compulsorily purchased in 1965. (fn. 99) Whyatt (Builders),
recently responsible for extensions to Greenways estate in Walter Street and Roman Road,
agreed to complete the estate in 1971; (fn. 1) Southwood House opened with 21 flats in Florida
Street in 1971 and Jeremy Bentham House with
30 in Pollard Street in 1972. A third stage, (fn. 2)
announced in 1972, was for 97 dwellings in nine
4-storeyed blocks (fn. 3) on 2½ a. stretching east from
Mansford Street to Canrobert Street. Teesdale,
Blythe, and Wear streets were accordingly closed. (fn. 4)
The nine blocks opened between 1975 and 1976.
John Nettlefold House, with 14 dwellings,
opened at no. 375 Bethnal Green Road in 1981.
In 1972 Tower Hamlets designated the area
between Patriot Square, Bethnal Green hospital,
and Cambridge Heath Road for redevelopment,
where demolition and the closure of Peel
Grove were to make room for 106 dwellings.
Problems were feared from the existence of a
'plague pit', in reality the 19th-century Peel Grove
cemetery. (fn. 5) The four 3-storeyed blocks, named
after prominent inhabitants, (fn. 6) opened in 1977
and included houses for the elderly. (fn. 7) Another
3-storeyed estate opened in 1977 was Brierley
Gardens, 96 dwellings on the site of Brierley and
Royston streets. (fn. 8) Although Tower Hamlets had
more than 1,000 houses planned, its building
was ended by government restrictions in 1980. (fn. 9)
G.L.C. building continued in the late 1970s in
western Bethnal Green, north of Bethnal Green
Road, between Boundary and Newling estates
and south of Bethnal Green Road on a new estate
around Granby Street. In 1971 Boundary Street
estate's Streatley Buildings, on the east side of
Swanfield Street, was demolished (fn. 10) and 1 a. to
the south called Boreham Street, containing 49
houses, 19 workshops, a warehouse, and 10
shops, was about to be cleared. (fn. 11) It was scheduled for 30 dwellings in 1974, part of Virginia
estate. (fn. 12) In 1976 the G.L.C. planned 181 dwellings for the estate, on 7 a. in 2- and 3-storeyed
terraces with two 4-storeyed blocks of maisonettes fronting Chambord Street. The north-west
corner, adjoining the existing Virginia estate at
Casket Street, was to be temporarily retained for
businesses and later replaced by housing. (fn. 13) By
1982 there were 252 dwellings on the estate.
In 1966 the G.L.C. was acquiring property,
much of it industrial, around Granby Street
under the Housing Act of 1957. (fn. 14) It was probably the Ronan Point disaster which brought a
new sensitivity to the G.L.C.'s architectural
department, which in 1971 was planning a lowrise estate and consulting local inhabitants. (fn. 15)
Granby estate, between Chilton Street and St.
Matthew's Row and incorporating Bentworth
Court and Goldman Close in place of the old
street pattern, opened in 1977 with 280 dwellings. (fn. 16)
By the early 1980s (fn. 17) the G.L.C. owned 5,865
flats in the former M.B., 4,439 of them built
since the war. Tower Hamlets L.B. owned 4,785
dwellings, of which 4,166 had been built or
acquired since the war. The G.L.C.'s flats were
contained in 15 relatively compact estates of
1½ a.-23 a. in extent. The L.B.'s dwellings
comprised 77 sites, some large and compact
estates, some individual blocks on bombed sites,
and some terraced houses bought by the council.
Consolidation by 1986 (fn. 18) had produced 15 estates for the G.L.C. and 11 for the L.B. The
G.L.C.'s were Boundary, Collingwood, Dinmont, Hollybush Gardens, Horwood, Waterloo,
Pritchard, Minerva, Avebury, Teesdale, Park
View, Hereford (which included Granby),
Newling, Virginia, and Charlwood. Tower
Hamlets' were Rogers, (fn. 19) Approach, (fn. 20) , Weaver
House, Dorset, (fn. 21) St. Peter's or Claredale, (fn. 22)
Digby, (fn. 23) Lakeview or Lanfranc, (fn. 24) Mansford,
Greenways, (fn. 25) Waterlow, and Cranbrook. (fn. 26)
The history of Bethnal Green since 1945 has
been determined by the importance of the public
sector. By the mid 1950s nearly one third of all
housing stock, in 1961 over 40 per cent, was
owned by the L.C.C. or M.B. (fn. 27) and by the late
1970s their successors owned more than threequarters. (fn. 28) There was little private building for
domestic purposes. The last block of Nag's Head
estate, Shipton House, was built in 1947 and the
estate was sold to the Peabody Trust in 1956. (fn. 29)
Slum clearance affected not only the housing
rented out for private profit, still 55 per cent in
1961, (fn. 30) but the earlier blocks of flats erected on
a semi-charitable basis by the trusts. All the
property of the Improved Industrial Dwellings
Co. was disposed of, having by the early 1960s
become 'malodorous litter dens'. (fn. 31) The Waterlow estate had been taken over by Greencoat
Properties and in 1963 by the M.B., which later
also bought Leopold Buildings. Huntingdon
Buildings were owned by the G.L.C. when
closed in 1969; one block was demolished in the
early 1970s and another in 1980, (fn. 32) the rest being
improved to accommodate, by 1988, Huntingdon Industrial Units. The last of the Improved
Industrial Dwellings Co.'s estates was Jesus
Hospital charity estate. The G.L.C. bought a
small piece in the south-west corner in 1970 and
the central triangle, which became a public open
space, in 1979. The rest of the estate was conveyed in 1980 to Structadene, a Hackney firm
which refurbished the Victorian terraces. (fn. 33)
Of the East End Dwelling Co.'s properties,
Meadows Dwellings closed in 1962 and were
demolished by 1971 to make way for Mansford estate, while Ravenscroft was emptied
in 1970 and demolished partly in 1982 and,
after featuring as a home for fallen women
in the film 'The Missionary', finally in 1984.
Of the group between Victoria Park Square
and Globe Road, the war-damaged Merceron
Houses were replaced in 1949 while Westbrook House was built to the south c. 1950.
Two blocks of Merceron and Gretton houses
were demolished in 1982 and the rest, Merceron, Gretton, Evesham, Montford, Mulberry,
and Westbrook houses, were taken over by
the G.L.C. as Victoria Park Square or
Charlwood estate. (fn. 34)
The first of the model dwellings, Columbia
Square flats, in 1957 were very damp. The M.B.
bought them in 1961, demolished them in
1962, (fn. 35) and built Sivill House on the site. Other
model dwellings which made way for council
flats included Brady's Buildings in Barnet Grove
(for Avebury estate), Queen's Buildings in
Gosset Street (for Virginia estate), Barnsley and
Somerford houses (for Collingwood estate), and
Mansford and Toye's Buildings (for Mansford
estate). Craven Buildings, a 'grim five-storey
tenement block' of the late 19th century in
Poyser Street near the railway, was in 1967 about
to make way for a building for handicapped
children. (fn. 36) Demolition proposed in 1963 for
Linden Buildings in Shacklewell Street (fn. 37) had
provided a public open space by 1973. (fn. 38)
The G.L.C. began to retreat from its leading
role in local housing when Conservatives took
over in 1967. Until stopped by the Labour
government in 1968, it offered to sell its council
houses to tenants and planned to transfer estates
to the London boroughs, although it continued
with a reduced building programme. (fn. 39) Meanwhile it began to turn to conservation, declaring
in 1967 10 conservation areas in Tower Hamlets,
one of which, Bethnal Green Gardens, was in
the former Bethnal Green M.B. (fn. 40)
The Labour-dominated L.B. was slower to
relinquish housing and refused to take over
G.L.C. estates in 1969 largely for financial reasons. (fn. 41) From 1970 successive governments
favoured modernizing the existing stock. (fn. 42) In
1977 when the G.L.C. reiterated its policy of
encouraging home ownership and transferring
estates to the boroughs, (fn. 43) Tower Hamlets devoted only 17 per cent of its total expenditure to
housing. Its largest expense, 35 per cent, was on
social services, (fn. 44) partly necessitated by its own
earlier policies.
By the end of the 1970s the post-war objectives
had been attained, population had been reduced
by 44 per cent and railway land by 37 per cent,
only to produce a 'dying inner city' with acute
financial problems. A shrunken population, industry, and commerce had lowered income
while capital expenditure on clearance and estate
building was enormous. Much of the open space
was derelict land and the need was for investment in attracting business and in refurbishment
rather than demolition. (fn. 45) In 1977 the G.L.C.
possessed 39 per cent of all vacant land in Tower
Hamlets, which it had acquired under clearance
schemes but had no plans to redevelop; Tower
Hamlets owned another 26 per cent. (fn. 46) By 1984
Tower Hamlets acknowledged its prime problem, exacerbated by the national recession, to be
the lack of employment created by displacing
firms for housing estates. In future it would
prevent the conversion of industrial premises,
create industrial improvement areas, as at the
northern end of Brick Lane, and allow office
developments, especially near Underground stations. (fn. 47) A Borough Plan, published in 1986 when
unemployment in Tower Hamlets was the highest in London, listed sites scheduled for light
industry: several fronting Hackney Road and
others in Pritchard's Road, Shacklewell, Bacon,
and Cheshire streets in the west and Coborn
Road in the east. (fn. 48) When the plan was slightly
modified in 1988 unemployment, at 18 per cent,
was the second highest in London. (fn. 49)
Refurbishment applied both to council housing and to the few remaining old houses. General
Improvement Areas were declared where all
property was to be modernized, for example
Driffield Road in 1975 (fn. 50) and the Barnet Jesus
Hospital estate in 1986. (fn. 51) From the mid 1970s
Tower Hamlets assumed some of the G.L.C.'s
responsibilities, taking over the western Bethnal
Green comprehensive area in 1976. (fn. 52) In 1979,
after discussions with the G.L.C. begun in 1977,
a joint housing management committee was set
up but in 1982 the L.B. withdrew, setting up its
own housing directorate and management districts. (fn. 53)
The council's greatest challenge by the 1970s
came from its own estates, in 1986 'cramped,
unlovely and unloved'. (fn. 54) Not only did the older
ones need refurbishment but the newer were
plagued by vandalism, reported in tower blocks
in 1974, or by defects as on the recently built
Donegal and Sovereign houses on Collingwood
estate in 1970 and in 69 per cent of flats on
Lanfranc estate in 1978. (fn. 55) Among the most
dilapidated in 1981 were Greenways and Claredale. (fn. 56) Rogers estate was rife with crime, its
passages and walkways providing rat-runs for criminals which recalled the 19th-century Nichol.
In 1990 the author of the critical report of c. 1978
was invited to modify its design, add bungalows
and gardens, reorientate entrances, and block
passageways. (fn. 57) Disillusion with high-rise
building culminated in 1993 with a demand for
the demolition of Lasdun's Keeling House, a
'symbol of everything that was wrong with
doctrinaire post-war planning'. (fn. 58) Although it
became the country's only listed tower block in
1993, it was empty and again threatened with
demolition in 1995. (fn. 59)

BETHNAL GREEN: HOUSING ESTATES c. 1986
Bethnal Green housing estates c. 1986.
L.C.C. and G.L.C. ESTATES. Pre-Second World War. Post-Second World War.
1 Boundary Street 1895, 1a Boundary Street block demolished 1971, 2 Collingwood 1923, 2a Darling Row and other eastern extensions,
2b Eastman Street, 3 Dinmont 1934, 3a extension, 4 Hollybush Gardens 1936, 5 Horwood 1937, 5a Gales Gardens, 6 Wellington (Waterloo)
1937, 6a extensions, 7 Pritchard 1938, 8 Minerva 1948, 9 Avebury 1948 onwards, 10 Teesdale 1949, 11 Park View 1951, 12 Hereford 1957,
12a Granby Street, 13 Newling 1963 onwards, 14 Virginia 1966, 15 Victoria Park Square (Charlwood), acquired 1982.
BETHNAL GREEN M. B. and TOWER HAMLETS L.B. ESTATES. Pre-Second World War. Post-Second World War.
1 Rogers, 1a Bethnal Green 1922, 1b Burnham 1939, 1c Rogers 1949, 1d Pepys House 1955, 1e Brierley Gardens 1977, 2 Approach, 2a
Cambridge Heath (Lenin) 1927, 2b Reynolds House 1953, 2C Approach Road Scheme 1963, 2d Mayfield House 1964, 2e Patriot Square 1977,
3 Weaver House 1929, 4 Dorset, 4a Vaughan 1931, 4b Dorset 1958, 4c Leopold Buildings, acquired 1965, 4d Sir Graham Rowlandson House
1978/84, 5 St. Peters, 5a Hadrian 1932, 5b Claredale House 1933, 5c Delta 1937, 5d Claredale 1960, 5e Mary Janes and Shephard Houses
1966, 5f Barnet Grove, 6 Digby, 6a Digby 1936, 6b Butler 1938, 6c post-war extensions 1953-68, 7 Lakeview, 7a Bunsen House 1951,
7b Lanfranc 1974 (including Hooke House 1951), 7c Margaret Bondfield House 1952, 7d Beatrice Webb House 1953, 7e Susan Lawrence
House 1954, 7f Lakeview 1958, 8 Mansford, 8a James Middleton House 1953, 8b Mansford 1969-81, 9 Greenways 1959, 10 Waterlow,
acquired 1963, 11 Cranbrook 1964.
COMPANY AND PRIVATE ESTATES.
1 Improved Industrial Dwellings Co., 1a Jesus Hospital Barnet c. 1868, 1b Waterlow 1869, 1c Leopold Buildings 1871, 2 East End
Dwellings Co., 2a Museum Buildings 1888, 2b Mendip and Shepton Houses 1900, 2c Evesham and Montford Houses 1901, 2d Mulberry
House 1934, 3 Guinness Trust 1901, 4 Four Per Cent Industrial Dwellings Co., Mocatta House 1905, 5 Sutton Dwellings Trust 1909,
6 Peabody Trust 1910 (and see 8), 7 Bethnal Green and East London Housing Association Ltd., Queen Margaret Flats 1926, 8 Nag's
Head 1933, acquired by Peabody Trust 1957, 9 Bates 1970.
Modernization was attempted: Tower Hamlets
announced plans for Butler estate in 1980 and
renovated one block of Burnham in 1985 before
funds ran out. Recourse was had to the private
sector, especially after the G.L.C.'s abolition in
1986 when its estates passed to Tower Hamlets
and were broken up by the Alliance into seven
neighbourhoods with responsibility for housing.
Three, Bethnal Green, Globe Town, and Bow,
covered parts of the old M.B., although all
contained districts outside it. Among further
adjustments Lakeview, which fell within Bow
neighbourhood, by 1993 was classified as part of
Ranwell West estate. (fn. 60)
The new council policy, emphasizing local
responsibility and reinforced by financial constraints, was to offer council housing to tenants
for sale or in self-help schemes or encourage
housing associations and trusts. At the end of
the 1980s nearly 2,000 council tenants in Bethnal
Green and Globe Town neighbourhoods were
said to be buying their homes; (fn. 61) tenants on
Burnham estate agreed in 1989 to renovate their
own flats in a privately financed scheme. (fn. 62)
Proposals in 1986 to privatize whole estates,
including Bethnal Green, Boundary, Bacton
Towers, Hadrian, and Waterlow, provoked tenants
to form the Tower Hamlets Campaign Against
Estates Sales. (fn. 63) At the end of 1986 Bethnal
Green neighbourhood decided to sell Hadrian
estate to five property developers. (fn. 64) In 1987 it
agreed that Barretts should refurbish Waterlow
estate, return 125 flats to the council to rent, and
sell 105 cheaply to local people and 70 on the
open market. Such projects and Structadene Ltd.'s
refurbishment of 19th-century terraces on the
Jesus Hospital estate led to attacks on gentrification.
Protestors pointed to the many empty properties
and the long official waiting list but offered no
solution to the expense of renovation. (fn. 65)
In 1988 Tower Hamlets hoped for 'greater
flexibility in the management of housing stock' (fn. 66)
and adopted the proposal of the government, which
had intervened through rate-capping, to involve
Housing Action Trusts, despite opposition
by both council employees and many tenants.
Boundary Street estate was one suggested by
the government (fn. 67) but one of the first was
Hadrian estate, which was handed over to Samuel
Lewis Housing Trust and demolished in 1990. (fn. 68)
The trust, (fn. 69) founded in 1901 by will of the
eponymous London financier to provide rented
accommodation, became in 1991 part of the
Southern Housing Group with an office for the
East Region in Bethnal Green Road. It absorbed
earlier associations like the Elizabeth Bates
Housing Society, which had been founded in
1955 to provide housing on the Elizabeth Bates
Trust estate in Bethnal Green. The society
refurbished the Victorian houses in Cyprus
Street and built four mainly seven-storeyed
blocks of flats (Kingswood, Malmesbury,
Tytherton, and Brockweir) at the western end
of the estate in the late 1960s. The society
possessed approximately 315 units in Tower
Hamlets when financial and staffing difficulties
led to its merger with the Samuel Lewis Housing
Trust in 1993. For Hadrian estate the Samuel
Lewis Housing Trust contracted Laing Homes
to complete by 1992 43 flats, maisonettes, and
houses for homeless tenants, 65 per cent white
and 35 per cent Bengali. Laing also worked from
1992 in Selby Street, on council and railway land
on the southern borders of Bethnal Green and
Spitalfields, where 116 houses and flats, designed
by Feilden & Manson, were planned by a
consortium of Samuel Lewis Housing Trust and
three other housing associations, Toynbee,
Spitalfields, and Newlon.
Housing associations assumed an increasing
importance. At the end of the 1960s the G.L.C.
had recognized their role in the improvement of
older houses and had offered them loans. (fn. 70)
Associations, however, owned under 4 per cent
of Tower Hamlets' housing in 1974. (fn. 71) With more
official encouragement their activities expanded,
most still converting old property but others
building their own estates. Among the chief was
Circle Thirty Three, which had 460 properties
in Tower Hamlets by 1992. (fn. 72) They included
acquisitions in Driffield Road in 1979 and
Baxendale Street in 1985, and new developments at Coll Sharp Court in the junction of
Austin Street and Virginia Road in 1990 and
Royston estate, west of Cranbrook, in 1992. (fn. 73)
Bethnal Green and East London Housing
Association, active in Bethnal Green since the
1920s, was registered as a charity in 1961 (fn. 74)
and amalgamated in 1993 with Victoria Park
Housing Association. In 1988 redevelopment of
the site of Bethnal Green hospital was discussed (fn. 75)
and in 1990 Victoria Park Housing Association
bought the eastern part, bounded north by
Parmiter Street and east by Russia Lane. Its
mixed development, opened in 1993, included
Ted Roberts House, named after the association's
founder and vicar of St. James the Less (1961-
78), with 30 flats for the elderly, Roger Dowley
Court, comprising a day hospital on the ground
floor and 32 shared flats, and, grouped around a
new road, Huddleston Close with 40 houses, 12
shared flats, and two houses offering 'care in
the community', for people with learning
difficulties or mental illness. The architects
were Baily Garner and the builders Willmott
Dixon. Other properties of the association
included Approach Road, opened in 1992 for
people with mental health problems, and small
developments in Bishop's Way and, for the
elderly, in Globe Road. (fn. 76)
The western part of the hospital site was sold
to Structadene, which built flats in a 3-storeyed
yellow-brick block called Heritage Place, a supermarket, office units, and a doctor's clinic in 1993.
The firm was also working in Old Ford Road. (fn. 77)
Other private developments in the 1990s included 4-storeyed flats in a vaguely classical
style, The Academy Court at the corner of Globe
Road and Kirkwall Place, Jameson Court in
Russia Lane, and City Walk, flats around a
courtyard in St. Matthew's Row. (fn. 78) Other projects
to attract middle-class buyers included the
conversion of churches, like St. James the Great
in Bethnal Green Road and the Methodist chapel
in Hackney Road. In 1991 Tower Hamlets
Environment Trust, which had been set up in
1979, was engaged in a 'Green Homes in Bethnal
Green project', building 34 houses to new environmental specifications. (fn. 79) From c. 1990 Globe
Town neighbourhood disposed of Cambridge
Heath, Digby, and Bacton Tower estates, in
addition to the portion of Burnham estate
relinquished earlier. (fn. 80)
The appearance of Bethnal Green was transformed between 1945 and 1995. Endless streets
of two-storeyed cottages of c. 1840-60 (fn. 81) where
the typical home was a 4-roomed house with a
yard full of boxes of geraniums, rabbit hutches,
pigeon lofts, 'dilapidated but cosy, damp but
friendly', (fn. 82) made way for equally monotonous
rows of 5-storeyed blocks or high- and low-rise
estates whose intended landscaped grounds
more often became empty or waste-strewn
spaces. In 1945 poverty was such that 89 per
cent of families were said to be without bathrooms. (fn. 83) By 1951 79 per cent were still without
or sharing a bathroom; 37 per cent lacked a
W.C., 35 per cent piped water, 27 per cent a
kitchen sink, and 4 per cent a cooking stove. By
1961 those lacking the first three facilities had
fallen to 58, 29, and 7.6 per cent. (fn. 84) Overcrowding
also lessened: where there had been 1.35 families
for each dwelling in 1931, there were 1.24 in
1951 and 1.15 in 1961. Families becoming
smaller, the density for each room averaged 1.35
in 1931, 0.92 in 1951, and 0.84 in 1961. (fn. 85) By the
1980s there were 'probably as many homes in
the borough as there are households'. (fn. 86)
Bethnal Green could be presented in the early
1950s as 'some sort of Utopia.' (fn. 87) The streets,
though crowded with stalls, were bearable
because 'no one in Bethnal Green owns a motorcar'. Strong local loyalties and a respectable
working class, which engaged in fanatical doorstep-scrubbing in areas like Mace Street and
Gibraltar Walk, (fn. 88) made for a stable society
described in 1951 as orderly and safe. (fn. 89) Most
people had been born in the borough, like their
parents and probably grandparents, and lived near
their relatives, the wife's mother in particular
being the centre of family life. Most had private
landlords and obtained tenancies through the
mother's connexions and her influence with the
rent collector. The unemployment and grinding
labour of earlier periods were over, small workshops in the many buildings left empty by
bombing and slum clearance offering a variety
of jobs for men and part-time work for women.
Both birth and death rates had fallen, leaving
fewer widows and orphans, while television was
beginning to weaken the power of the public
house over the men. It was a homogeneous
society, working-class and English although
with some who still cherished their Huguenot
ancestry. (fn. 90) Many Jews had dispersed during the
war. In 1948 it was estimated that c. 10 per cent
(6,000) of the population was Jewish, mostly in
the west and south, but there too the numbers
were decreasing. By c. 1955 the proportion was
c. 8 per cent and the remaining Jews were indistinguishable from other East Enders. Immigration
from the Commonwealth had not started. In
1954 it could be said that there was little colour
prejudice because the non-European population
was minute. There was little political or criminal
violence. (fn. 91)
The 'changing face' of Bethnal Green excited
comment by the end of the 1950s as the deeply
conservative East Ender was deprived of his
familiar streets. The growth of traffic led the
council in 1959 to divert street trading to a new
market off Roman Road, when it met the same
kind of resistance as the earlier attempt to
promote Columbia Market. (fn. 92) The number of
dwellings declined from 15,854 in 1951 to 14,649
in 1961, when they were contained in 5,729
buildings, 230 of them blocks of more than 10
dwellings. (fn. 93)
In accordance with council policy, slum clearance was accompanied by a fall in population
and a contraction in industry. Between 1931 and
1955 nearly 11,000 families, more than 40,000
people, from Bethnal Green were rehoused on
L.C.C. estates, many of them outside the borough, mainly in Essex. Those rehoused within
Bethnal Green, whether by the L.C.C. or the
M.B., were relocated without regard to family
connexions. (fn. 94)
The break-up of the old social order and
contraction of privately rented housing, coupled with the abolition of council housing
waiting lists in the mid 1950s, increased the
number of homeless. Their plight contributed to exploitation in a climate of
commercialism and criminality, (fn. 95) culminating
in the reign of the Kray brothers with their
headquarters in Vallance Road and a celebrated murder in the Blind Beggar in
Whitechapel Road in 1966. (fn. 96) Rent protests
were common in the early 1960s. In 1960
Quiltotex Ltd. offered the tenants of Mansford
Buildings a choice of eviction or tenancies at
double the rent. The M.B., alleging neglect,
threatened to compulsorily purchase the flats,
which after a temporary compromise were
replaced by Mansford estate. (fn. 97) Greencoat
Properties took similar action on Waterlow
estate in 1962. It was generally agreed that the
estate was in disrepair and the controversy led
directly to the purchase of part by the council
in 1963. (fn. 98) In 1964, after touring Bethnal
Green, the Liberal leader Joseph Grimond
called for an open register of landlords and for
the G.L.C. to assume direct responsibility for
all housing. (fn. 99) By 1968-9 the G.L.C.'s tenants
were withholding rent. (fn. 1)
Immigration further undermined the homogeneity of the early 1950s. Pakistanis (after
1974 Bangladeshis), like the Huguenots and
Jews earlier, moved into Bethnal Green from
the south, (fn. 2) settling around Cable Street and,
after its clearance in 1963, around Brick Lane
in privately rented, multi-occupied dwellings. As single men were joined by their
families, their overcrowded living and working
conditions in sweated labour in the clothing
industry aroused the same hostility as their
predecessors'. Fascism revived in Bethnal
Green in 1958 and grew throughout the 1960s.
'Skinheads', themselves the product of weakened family ties, attacked Asians at the
London Chest hospital and in Brick Lane in
1970. (fn. 3) Increasing activity by the National
Front led to the formation of the Spitalfields
Community and the Spitalfields Bengali action groups in 1974, the Spitalfields Project in
1975, (fn. 4) and an Anti-Racist Committee of
Asians in East London in 1976, when a new
police station opened in Brick Lane. (fn. 5) More
than 3,000 people marched in protest through
the Front's strongholds in Bethnal Green in
1977 and the murder of a Bengali in
Whitechapel provoked demonstrations which
included a march of 7,000 from Brick Lane to
Downing Street in 1978 when the Front moved
its headquarters from Bethnal Green to
Shoreditch. In 1981 the Spitalfields Local Committee, a grant-making body funded by the
council, was set up to defuse Bengali anger. (fn. 6)
Much racial violence was youthful vandalism,
exploited for political ends. Another element
was the Asians' claim to be offered only the
oldest council housing; an analysis based on the
1971 census showed that, of a selected group of
G.L.C. estates, the highest concentration of
Asians was in Boundary Street and Collingwood
and the lowest in Newling and Park View. (fn. 7) The
G.L.C.'s plan to set aside certain blocks for
Bengalis was attacked by both sides. Many flats
were too small for the immigrants' families but
in 1982 the Spitalfields Housing and Planning
Rights Service showed that Collingwood and
Boundary Street still had the most Asians while
Wellington and Avebury had least. English-born
East Enders, however, complained of new houses
in Columbia Road that 'the whole row is Indian'.
In the late 1980s the L.B. was accused of
discrimination when it refused to continue
paying for recently arrived Bangladeshi families
on the grounds that they were voluntarily
homeless. (fn. 8)
Ethnic minorities formed about a fifth of Tower
Hamlets' population by 1981, mostly Bangladeshis
and Pakistanis. (fn. 9) The immigrants moved into all
parts although in 1988 they were mostly still in the
west, in Bethnal Green neighbourhood where they
formed 30 per cent of the population. Bangladeshis
increased by over 200 per cent between 1981 and
1988 in Globe Town neighbourhood, where in
1986 they formed 10 per cent of the population with
Pakistanis and New Commonwealth minorities forming another 7 per cent. The same categories
comprised 12.6 per cent of the population in Bow
neighbourhood in 1988. (fn. 10) Other immigrants
included refugee Vietnamese and Somalis, for
whom an association was set up in 1983. (fn. 11)
By 1993 Bethnal Green was thoroughly cosmopolitan. The self-governing neighbourhoods and
numerous associations tended to involve the
whole community. Although partly funded by
local and central government, they represented
a movement away from paternalism, whether of
largely middle-class bodies like the Church and
the philanthropic companies or of the providers
of municipal housing. Care was taken by housing
associations constantly to consult local groups.
Housing associations and private firms were
still building on relatively small sites. Much older
property, including whole terraces, had been
refurbished, although there were still run-down
areas like Cambridge Heath Road and parts of
Hackney Road. Road improvements included
ramps to slow down traffic and there were many
more open spaces. Industry, in old workshops
or new industrial units, was mostly small-scale
and confined to certain areas, notably in the
north on either side of Cambridge Heath Road
or in the south around Brick Lane. Bethnal Green
was still predominantly working-class but recent
gentrification was manifest in specialist shops
in Columbia Road or a Buddhist vegetarian
restaurant in Globe Road. A special feature
was the art galleries and studios which were
attracted by low rent and often opened in former
industrial premises. (fn. 12)
The population, 22,310 in 1801, doubled to
45,676 by 1821 and again to 90,193 by 1851,
reaching 120,104 by 1871 and its highest point,
129,727, in 1901. Thereafter it declined, to
108,194 in 1931, 58,353 in 1951, and 47,078 in
1961. After a further fall it started to rise again,
by natural increase and immigration, from the
1980s. (fn. 13)